Electricity Crisis: What Is “Lack Of Reserve”?

Australia's electricity system - lack of reserve

There have been many mentions of “lack of reserve” at various levels during the electricity crisis in Australia’s eastern states – what does it all mean?

We’re living in interesting times; times that Leader of the OppositionPeter Duttonis already blaming on Labor. Some (many) would argue it was nine years of a Coalition government faffing about with energy policy that led to this point. Well, that and Putin’s invasion of Ukraine – which certainly hasn’t helped things.

But if we had more renewables backed by storage in the system, the situation wouldn’t have become as serious.

Anyhow, it is what it is and currently things are still a little shaky in terms of electricity supply in states part of the currently-suspended National Electricity Market (NEM). The unprecedented suspension was implemented by the Australian Energy Market Operator on Wednesday.The reason:

“AEMO has taken this step because it has become impossible to continue operating the spot market while ensuring a secure and reliable supply of electricity for consumers in accordance with the NER.”

Since suspending the spot market, AEMO has been able to manage electricity supply more effectively. As at 4.30pm yesterday, it was still too early for the AEMO to say when the market will resume normal operations.

What Is The AEMO’s Role?

Among the AEMO’s functions is oversight of the operations and security of the NEM power system in eastern and south-eastern Australia. The AEMO keeps very close tabs on what’s happening 24/7/365 to ensure the capacity to generate and transport energy can meet demand – and that’s a really fine balance to maintain. But there also needs to be a buffer, because Murphy’s Law applies.

When the AEMO doesn’t think there will be enough spare capacity ready to rock, it starts squawking about “Lack Of Reserve”; or LOR to its friends. The AEMO initially encourages generators to play ball to meet the forecast shortfall, and failing that, it pushes them to. It seems electricity generators really like being pushed as they make more money that way – and that’s part of the problem that led to the NEM suspension.

Lack Of Reserve: 3 Levels

LOR conditions come in three increasingly unpleasant flavours:

  • LOR1 – when reserve levels are lower than the two largest supply resources in a state.
  • LOR2 – when reserve levels are lower than the single largest supply resource in a state.
  • LOR3 – when the available electricity supply is equal to or less than the operational demand. In other words, no reserve.

In an LOR1 situation, the AEMO asks generators to put their hands up to commit to supply, or large electricity consumers to dial back their consumption. In an LOR2 scenario, the AEMO has the clout to direct generators or activate the Reliability & Emergency Reserve Trader (RERT) mechanism to improve the situation.

If an LOR3 situation is forecast, the AEMO keeps pushing and prepares to engage “load shedding”, also known as rotating outages. This means cutting supply in chosen areas for reasonably short periods (45 minutes usually) on a rotating basis for as long as the situation exists. A group of areas get their plugs pulled first, then plugged back in; then the next locations in line cop it and so on.

This load-shedding is to prevent the whole system potentially suffering serious damage. The comparative few are (temporarily) sacrificed for the good of the many, otherwise the many may be in the dark for a really long time – what’s referred to as ablack system event.

If you’re interested in taking a look at AEMO Lack Of Reserve notices,there have been plenty to read here. Note that many are forecasts, and like weather forecasts can change but tend to become more accurate closer to the anticipated event. If the event can’t be avoided in time, it then becomes an “actual LOR” and it’s time to cross fingers.

There’s also a handy info-sheet explainingLack of Reserve (LOR) notices here.

Load Shedding And Home Solar

For Australian households with a2018世界杯狗万滚球app and a国内电池capable of backing up critical loads in a blackout (not all are), a typical load shedding event wouldn’t be such a big deal.

But generally speaking, if a household just has solar panels installed and the area is subject to load shedding, then that household is in the same boat as its neighbours.Solar invertershave what’s called “anti-islanding protection“, an important safety feature that shuts them down in a blackout situation.

Whether354manbetx 带有备份能力是值得给负载脱落ding events are pretty rare and should be brief is a personal choice. For many battery buyers, it may be part of a purchase decision but not the sole reason. You can learn more about the pros and cons of home energy storage in SolarQuotes Founder Finn’s101 guidesto618manbetx ,354manbetx and333manbetx solar battery systems.

About Michael Bloch

Michael caught the solar power bug after purchasing components to cobble together a small off-grid PV system in 2008. He's been reporting on Australian and international solar energy news ever since.

Comments

  1. Geoff Miell says

    Bruce Robertson, energy finance analyst (from IEEFA) said onThe Projectlast night:

    The power crisis is only in part of Australia; like one-third of Australia – the whole of Western Australia – ah, it’s business-as-usual over there.
    https://twitter.com/theprojecttv/status/1537354102677594112

    A gas reservation policy means lower gas prices
    Lower gas prices mean lower electricity prices
    Lower energy prices translates to a lower cost of living
    Lower energy prices means more competitive industry & more jobs
    What’s not to like about that?

    https://twitter.com/barobertson111/status/1537407190528847872

    Simples!!!

  2. George Kaplan says

    Not all home batteries are capable of backing up critical loads in blackouts? Wouldn’t it be more accurate to say most households with batteries aren’t armageddon proof and thus will still go black when the power dies? Or am I confusing 3 phase battery systems with single phase systems?

    As for load shedding events being pretty rare, while most blackouts probably aren’t due to load shedding, there’s been at least 6 blackouts here this year. Some were only short enough to crash everything and corrupt the daily\monthly\yearly inverter data, others were somewhat longer.

    As frustrating as blackouts are, an armageddon proof battery system still isn’t a financially viable option – unless you aren’t looking at a finance based ROI.

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